000
WTPZ23 KNHC 181446
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182019
1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 126.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.1N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.6N 126.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.2N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.0N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 11.5N 126.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 126.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG