000
WTPZ23 KNHC 151452
TCMEP3

HURRICANE KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 121.1W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 121.1W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.1N 122.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.3N 123.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.4N 124.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 126.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 121.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE