000
WTPZ23 KNHC 150853
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.9N 121.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.6N 124.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.1N 128.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 18.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 120.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO