000
WTPZ23 KNHC 070231
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032019
0300 UTC SUN JUL 07 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 118.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  30SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 120.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.1N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 21.5N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 117.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN