000
WTPZ23 KNHC 252031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
2100 UTC MON JUL 25 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 127.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.4N 128.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 129.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.9N 131.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.5N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN