000
WTPZ23 KNHC 071438
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
1500 UTC THU JUL 07 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.7N 129.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.9N 131.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N 132.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.9N 135.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.0N 139.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.0N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 127.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN