000
WTPZ23 KNHC 051449
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
1500 UTC TUE JUL 05 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 119.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 119.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.4N 121.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.8N 123.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.4N 125.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 19.1N 134.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.6N 137.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN