000
WTPZ23 KNHC 170300
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
0300 UTC WED JUN 17 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA...MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES...MEXICO
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.6N 105.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N 106.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.8N 106.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 104.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA