000
WTPZ23 KNHC 291446
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182014
1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 117.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 117.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.1N 117.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.9N 117.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.7N 118.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 22.0N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 117.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/LEWITSKY