000
WTPZ23 KNHC 250830
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182014
0900 UTC THU SEP 25 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.6W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.6W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 108.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N 112.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 113.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 114.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 108.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA