000
WTPZ23 KNHC 241447
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 111.4W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......220NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 111.4W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 112.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 170SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 114.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 190SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.9N 116.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...260NE 250SE 210SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.3N 117.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 170SE 170SW 190NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 28.5N 131.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 111.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG