000
WTPZ23 KNHC 130231
TCMEP3

HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0300 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 108.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 108.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.0W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 109.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.8N 110.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.4N 111.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 114.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N 116.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 108.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI