000
WTPZ23 KNHC 101438
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
1500 UTC TUE JUN 10 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 102.9W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 102.9W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 102.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 103.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.7N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.4N 107.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.8N 112.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 19.8N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 102.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART