000
WTPZ23 KNHC 191438
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 107.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 107.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.4N 107.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.9N 107.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.5N 107.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 107.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN