000
WTPZ23 KNHC 140901
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
WESTWARD FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 102.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 103.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.3N 103.6W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 102.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN