000
WTPZ23 KNHC 241441
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032013
1500 UTC MON JUN 24 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 105.8W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 240SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 105.8W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 110.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.7N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 114.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG