000 WTPZ23 KNHC 160239 TCMEP3 HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032012 0300 UTC SAT JUN 16 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS EAST OF SALINA CRUZ. THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH. THE HURRICANE WATCH WEST OF ACAPULCO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.2W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.2W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 96.7W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 70SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.0N 99.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 97.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA