000 WTPZ23 KNHC 151438 TCMEP3 HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032012 1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA TO CABO CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOTTA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 96.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 96.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 95.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.9N 96.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 97.8W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 98.8W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.6N 99.5W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N 100.0W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N 99.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 99.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 96.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN