000
WTPZ23 KNHC 240831
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0900 UTC THU NOV 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 120.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 120.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 120.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 121.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.5N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.5N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 120.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA