000
WTPZ23 KNHC 231434
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
1500 UTC WED NOV 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 117.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 117.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 116.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.1N 118.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 121.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.6N 124.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 117.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN