000
WTPZ23 KNHC 230239
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0300 UTC WED NOV 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 150SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.8N 117.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.6N 118.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.4N 120.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN