000
WTPZ23 KNHC 222034
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
2100 UTC TUE NOV 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 140SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.8N 116.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.4N 118.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.1N 119.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.7N 120.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.5N 123.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.7N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 114.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN