000
WTPZ23 KNHC 221448
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
1500 UTC TUE NOV 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 113.9W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 150SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 113.9W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 113.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.9N 115.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.3N 117.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.4N 120.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.1N 124.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.5N 129.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 113.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN