000
WTPZ23 KNHC 211436
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
1500 UTC MON NOV 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 109.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  70SE  45SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 109.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 109.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.9N 111.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.4N 117.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.4N 120.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.2N 124.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN