000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210834
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0900 UTC MON NOV 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 108.4W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  55SE  45SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  55SE  30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 108.4W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.8N 112.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.8N 114.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.0N 116.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.3N 120.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 123.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 126.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART