000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210236
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0300 UTC MON NOV 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.0W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.0W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.6N 108.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N 113.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 107.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG