000
WTPZ23 KNHC 202033
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
2100 UTC SUN NOV 20 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 105.6W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 105.6W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 105.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.5N 112.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.1N 118.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 14.1N 121.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 14.8N 125.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 105.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN