000
WTPZ23 KNHC 152032
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062011
2100 UTC MON AUG 15 2011
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 132.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 132.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 131.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.0N 133.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.0N 134.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.1N 136.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 13.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 13.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 132.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG