000
WTPZ23 KNHC 090832
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
0900 UTC SAT JUL 09 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.3N 111.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.7N 113.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.2N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.7N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 110.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 090832
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
0900 UTC SAT JUL 09 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.3N 111.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.7N 113.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.2N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.7N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 110.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN