000
WTPZ23 KNHC 090244
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
0300 UTC SAT JUL 09 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 109.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 109.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 112.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N 113.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.3N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 109.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 090244
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
0300 UTC SAT JUL 09 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 109.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 109.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 112.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N 113.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.3N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 109.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART