000
WTPZ23 KNHC 082039
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
2100 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 108.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 108.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 082039
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
2100 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 108.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 108.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA