000 WTPZ23 KNHC 080231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032011 0300 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.3W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.3W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 103.7W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.6N 105.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.4N 107.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 109.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N 110.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 080231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032011 0300 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.3W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.3W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 103.7W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.6N 105.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.4N 107.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 109.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N 110.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART