000
WTPZ23 KNHC 180831
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032010
0900 UTC FRI JUN 18 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.7W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.7W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.3N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 106.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA