000
WTPZ23 KNHC 172030
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032010
2100 UTC THU JUN 17 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 105.8W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 105.8W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 105.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.4N 106.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.6N 107.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.8N 107.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.2N 108.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.7N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE