000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020231
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
0300 UTC FRI OCT 02 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 117.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 117.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.2N 118.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.0N 118.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.5N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.0N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA