000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011447
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
1500 UTC THU OCT 01 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 117.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.4N 119.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 119.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.3N 120.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.3N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.0N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN