000
WTPZ23 KNHC 012033
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2009
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND
NORTH OF MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. 
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 111.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 111.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.2N 112.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N 113.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.6N 113.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.5N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 30.5N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 111.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN