000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011447
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2009
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO MULEGE.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND
FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST... INCLUDING CABO SAN
LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND
NORTH OF MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  THIS WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD
LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 110.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 110.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 110.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 22.4N 111.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.9N 112.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.1N 113.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.5N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.0N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.5N 113.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN