000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010246
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2009
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA AND ON THE EAST
COAST FROM MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND NORTH OF SAN
EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM
ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.6W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.6W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 111.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.1N 112.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.2N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 30.0N 113.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN