000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312033
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND
NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 109.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 109.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 108.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.6N 111.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.8N 112.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 29.5N 113.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 31.0N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 109.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH