000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310236
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
 
A 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. THE WATCH EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE
WEST COAST AROUND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD
TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JIMENA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE
AREAS TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.2W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.2W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.2N 109.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.3N 110.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  95SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.4N 111.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.0N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.6N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 107.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN