000
WTPZ23 KNHC 301431
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2009
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 106.3W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 106.3W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.1N 107.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.4N 108.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.0N 109.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.0N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 28.0N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 106.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH