000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300847
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2009
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.7W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.7W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.8N 106.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.9N 107.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 19.2N 108.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.9N 110.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 111.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 27.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 28.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 105.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN