000
WTPZ23 KNHC 292033
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.2W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.2W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 103.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.6N 105.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.3N 106.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.2N 107.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.3N 109.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 104.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE