000
WTPZ23 KNHC 080233
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
0300 UTC SAT AUG 08 2009
 
INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FELICIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 138.0W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 138.0W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 137.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 139.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 142.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.6N 147.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 153.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.5N 159.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.0N 164.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 138.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN