000
WTPZ23 KNHC 071443
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1500 UTC FRI AUG 07 2009
 
INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FELICIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 135.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 135.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 135.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.6N 137.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.2N 139.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 141.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N 144.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N 155.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.0N 160.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 135.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE