000
WTPZ23 KNHC 070235
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
0300 UTC FRI AUG 07 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 133.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 133.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 133.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.8N 134.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.7N 136.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.4N 138.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  35SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.8N 141.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N 157.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 133.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN