000
WTPZ23 KNHC 061439
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1500 UTC THU AUG 06 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 131.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 135SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 131.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 131.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.8N 133.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.9N 134.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.9N 136.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N 144.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.7N 150.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 155.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 131.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE