000
WTPZ23 KNHC 060234
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
0300 UTC THU AUG 06 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 130.5W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 130.5W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 130.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.1N 133.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.4N 136.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 153.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 130.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN