000
WTPZ23 KNHC 052036
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
2100 UTC WED AUG 05 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 129.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 129.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 129.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.2N 130.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.7N 132.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.8N 134.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 136.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 20.2N 152.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 129.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PEREIRA